If two or three teams are level on points it initially goes to a head to head - there won’t be any penalty shootouts after the France/Italy game, so you can ignore that previous answer.
Given your scenario, we’d had Romania, Italy and France level on points so you’ve have to draw up a mini table consisting solely of the games between the three of them. So we’d have…
Italy: P2 W0 D2 L0 F1+ A1+ GD0 Pts 2
Romania: P2 W0 D2 L0 F1 A1 GD 0 Pts 2
France: P2 W0 D2 L0 F0+ A0+ GD0 Pts 2
Obviously that doesn’t entirely take into account the result between France and Italy - if it’s a 0-0 draw then that would put Italy and Romania dead level for second based on the head to head records between the three countries, so then it would go down to overall goal difference over all three games: given your scenario, Italy would advance. If France and Italy have a score draw then unless Holland fail to beat Romania then Italy will advance irrespective of what the Holland/Romania score is (even if it’s 5-4 or something).
The logistical nightmare is that Romania lose 3-0 to Holland, and Italy and France draw 0-0. That would put Holland first, the remaining three level - France as we’ve established would finish bottom on the head to head records (so, by the way, they HAVE to win their last match whereas Italy and Romania could advance with a draw), Italy and Romania would be tied on head to head record, having also the same overall goal difference and matched on every other statistic, so you’d have a dead heat.
The process for seperation then goes as follows: as they aren’t playing each other in their final games, they can’t have a penalty shootout, making that last answer all the more ridiculous (the Czech Republic and Turkey match on Sunday WILL go to penalties in the event of a draw, without extra time).
The next seperator would be the average number of points scored per game in the qualifying for Euro 2008 and the 2006 World Cup. Over both campaigns, Italy played 22 and scored 52 points, Romania played 24 and scored 54 points, giving Italy an average on 2.36 points per game and Romania an average of 2.25 points per game, so Italy would advance.
In the unlikely event that that had been a tie, it would have gone down to fair play across the three group games, and after that UEFA would have had to draw one out of a hat.
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